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Revision as of 18:39, 30 October 2014 editRoentgenium111 (talk | contribs)Extended confirmed users8,194 edits →Government formation: fix← Previous edit Revision as of 19:45, 30 October 2014 edit undoDavid O. Johnson (talk | contribs)Extended confirmed users, Rollbackers52,396 edits Filled in 4 reference(s) with User:Zhaofeng Li/Reflinks; added more info to refs; fixed spelling; moved complete ref up to first useNext edit →
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===Reactions=== ===Reactions===
;Domestic ;Domestic
En Nahda's Lotfi Zitoun said the party had "accepted this result and congratulate the winner." Ennahda's Lotfi Zitoun said the party had "accepted this result and congratulate the winner."<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/10/27/us-tunisia-election-idUSKBN0IG0C120141027|title=Tunisian Islamists concede election defeat to secular party|date=27 October 2014|work=Reuters}}</ref>


;International ;International
The result was hailed internationally<Ref name="voa"/> for its democratic viability as the only one of the major ] uprisings, including Libya and Egypt that are convulsed by instability and turmoil. The result was hailed internationally<ref name="voa">{{cite web|url=http://www.voanews.com/content/after-elections-tunisia-nidaa-tounes-seeks-alliances-to-govern/2501691.html|title=After Elections, Tunisia’s Nidaa Tounes Seeks Alliances to Govern|work=VOA}}</ref>> for its democratic viability as the only one of the major ] uprisings, including Libya and Egypt that are convulsed by instability and turmoil.


In the United States, President ] hailed the free, fair and non-violent elections as a "milestone," while Secretary of State ] said it was an example of "why Tunisia remains a beacon of hope, not only to the Tunisian people, but to the region and the world."<ref>http://www.pbs.org/newshour/rundown/tunisia-primed-secular-government-peaceful-election/</ref> In the United States, President ] hailed the free, fair and non-violent elections as a "milestone," while Secretary of State ] said it was an example of "why Tunisia remains a beacon of hope, not only to the Tunisian people, but to the region and the world."<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.pbs.org/newshour/rundown/tunisia-primed-secular-government-peaceful-election/|title=Secular parliament set to take power in Tunisia after peaceful election|work=PBS NewsHour|date=27 October 2014}}</ref>


;Other ;Other
Comparisons were also drawn to holding Tunisia as a model for Lebanon ].<ref>http://www.aawsat.net/2014/10/article55338045</ref> Comparisons were also drawn to holding Tunisia as a model for Lebanon ].<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.aawsat.net/2014/10/article55338045|title=Opinion: Tunisia’s Lesson for Lebanon|publisher=Asharq Al-Awsat|date=30 October 2014}</ref>


==Government formation== ==Government formation==
With Nidaa Tounes having won a plurality it has the right to name a prime minister and form a government in coalition.<Ref>http://www.presstv.in/detail/2014/10/30/384137/nidaa-tounes-comes-1st-in-tunisia-polls/</ref> Beji Caid Essebsi said it was too early to talk of a coalition government - including one with En Nahda. Instead he said the ] will give direction to the formation of a new government.<ref name="voa">http://www.voanews.com/content/after-elections-tunisia-nidaa-tounes-seeks-alliances-to-govern/2501691.html</ref> With Nidaa Tounes having won a plurality it has the right to name a prime minister and form a government in coalition.<Ref>http://www.presstv.in/detail/2014/10/30/384137/nidaa-tounes-comes-1st-in-tunisia-polls/</ref> Beji Caid Essebsi said it was too early to talk of a coalition government - including one with Ennahda. Instead he said the ] will give direction to the formation of a new government.<ref name="voa"/>


==References== ==References==

Revision as of 19:45, 30 October 2014

Tunisian parliamentary election, 2014
← 2011 26 October 2014 (2014-10-26) Next →
All 217 seats to the Assembly of the Representatives of the People
109 seats needed for a majority
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Béji Caïd Essebsi Ali Laarayedh Slim Riahi
Party Call of Tunisia Ennahda UPL
Last election Did not contest 89 seats, 37.04% 1 seat, 1.26%
Seats before 6 85 2
Seats won 85 69 16
Seat change Increase 79 Decrease 16 Increase 14
  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Leader Hamma Hammami Yassine Brahim Imed Daimi
Party Popular Front Afek Tounes CPR
Last election 3 seats, 1.57% (PCOT) 4 seats, 1.89% 29 seats, 8.71%
Seats before 6 4 12
Seats won 15 8 4
Seat change Increase 9 Increase 4 Decrease 8
Prime Minister before election

Mehdi Jomaa
Independent

Elected Prime Minister

TBD

Politics of Tunisia

African Union Member State of the African Union

Arab League Member State of the Arab League
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Parliamentary elections were held in Tunisia on 26 October 2014. Campaigning started on 4 October 2014. They were the first elections following the adoption of the new constitution in January 2014, which created a 217-seat Assembly of the Representatives of the People. According to preliminary results, Nidaa Tounes gained a plurality of votes, winning 85 seats in the 217-seat parliament, beating the Ennahda Movement (69 seats) and many smaller parties.

Presidential elections are scheduled a month later on 23 November.

Electoral system

The 217 members of the Assembly of the Representatives of the People were elected in 33 constituencies. There were 27 multi-member constituencies in Tunisia varying in size from four to ten seats and electing a total of 199. There were also six overseas constituencies electing a total of 18 seats: two constituencies in France electing five seats each, one three-seat constituency in Italy, a single-member constituency in Germany, a two-member constituency covering the rest of Europe and the Americas, and a two-member constituency covering the Arab world and the rest of the world. Seats were elected by party-list proportional representation, using the largest remainder method.

Opinion polls

Poll results are listed in the table below in chronological order, showing the most recent polls last.

Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Undecided Aridha/
al-Mahaba 		CPR Ennahda Ettakatol PT/FP PDP/PR Call of Tunisia Other
bgcolor=Template:Popular Petition/meta/color | bgcolor=Template:Congress for the Republic/meta/color | bgcolor=Template:Ennahda Movement/meta/color | bgcolor=Template:Democratic Forum for Labour and Liberties/meta/color | bgcolor=Template:Popular Front (Tunisia)/meta/color | bgcolor=Template:Progressive Democratic Party (Tunisia)/meta/color | bgcolor=Template:Call of Tunisia/meta/color |
2011 election Oct 23, 2011 51.97% turnout – 6.74% 8.71% 37.04% 7.03% 1.57% 3.94% – 34.97%
I Watch Dec 2011 15,000 – 6% 25% 52% – – – – –
I Watch Jan 9–14, 2012 15,000 – 5% 22% 56% 8% – 9% – –
I Watch Feb 2012 15,000 – – 22% 52% 9% – 11% – –
SIGMA Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2012 1002 49.1% 1.3% 9.1% 28.2% 5.2% 1.0% 2.2% – 4.0%
I Watch Mar 2012 16,181 – 5th 22% 51% 4th – 3rd – –
FSSA May 2012 2,430 45% 4.1% 4.3% 29.0% – – – – –
SIGMA May 2012 1000 – – 6.2% 37.5% 7.5% – – – –
I Watch Apr 2012 15,000 – 9% 20% 48% 10% – 13% – –
Amilkar News Jun 2012 ? – ? ? 13% ? 8% 13% 50% 16%
Emrhod Jun 18–22, 2012 960 41.6% 1.5% 7.9% 25.5% 4.0% 2.6% 4.2% 5.2% 7.5%
3C Etudes Sep 2012 ? ? 5.4% 6.5% 30.4% 4.1% 5.6% 7.6% 20.8% ?
FSSA Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2012 1280 55.2% 1.4% 2.1% 22.3% 1.7% 4.6% 1.8% 7.9% ?
IRI Oct 2012 ? 41% – 6% 27% 6% 3% – 6% 11%
3C Etudes Oct 2012 1665 ? 5.6% 5.0% 30.9% 3.4% 5.6% 5.8% 28.1% ?
SIGMA Nov 2012 ? ? 3.4% 12.4% 36.1% 4.1% 5.3% 2.2% 29.1% ?
3C Etudes Nov 2012 1648 ? 4.7% 4.6% 31.4% 3.8% 6.9% 5.4% 29.6% ?
Emrhod Dec 2012 1200 ? 2.5% 3.8% 20.4% 1.8% 5.3% 0.7% 15.8% ?
SIGMA Dec 18–21, 2012 1892 ? 0.7% 6.8% 41.4% 1.9% 7.8% 3.1% 36.0% 2.3%
3C Etudes Dec 2012 1692 ? 5.1% 4.7% 33.9% 3.4% 9.4% 6% 28.4% 9.3%
3C Etudes Jan 2013 1652 ? 3.5% 3.5% 33.0% 2.9% 7.9% 5.6% 33.1% 10.5%
SIGMA Feb 2013 1715 ? 1.5% 3.5% 37.7% 1.7% 13.3% 3.1% 34.6% 4.4%
3C Etudes Feb 2013 1347 ? 5.9% 3.1% 29.4% 2.3% 12.2% 7.1% 29.8% ?
Emrhod Feb 2013 1060 22.9% (none)
16.8% (und.)		 1.9% 2.4% 19.5% 1.0% 7.5% 2.4% 18.7% 6.9%
3C Etudes Mar 2013 1609 38.5% 6.5% 1.7% 30.9% 1.5% 9.2% 6.4% 28.7% ?
Emrhod Mar 2013 1065 26.2% (none)
8.5% (und.)		 2.1% 1.2% 20.0% 1.2% 7.7% 3.5% 23.5% ?
3C Etudes Apr 2013 1695 44% 5.7% 2.1% 30.1% 1.4% 11% 5.8% 32.3% ?
FSSA Apr 2013 1210 11.7% (none)
35% (und.)		 2.6% 1.5% 21.3% 1.3% 5.0% 2.2% 17.5% ?
Emrhod Apr 2013 ? 25.5% (none)
13.5% (und.)		 1.8% 2.2% 16.4% 2.0% 5.4% 2.9% 21.2% ?
SIGMA May, 2013 ? ? ? 2.2% 32.6% 2.4% 8.9% 4.1% 44.7% ?
3C Etudes
 May 2013 1695 ? 4.7% 2.1% 29.4% 1.8% 11.6% 5.4% 33.8% ?
Sigma May 2013 2777 ? 0.5% 1.1% 17.3% 1.2% 4.5% 2.1% 22.6% ?
Emrhod May 2013 1600 ? 3.5% 2% 14% 1.7% 8% 2.1% 20.4% ?
Istis June 2013 ? ? ? 2.1% 34% 1% 8.1% 1% 32.7% 17%
Emrhod June 2013 1067 15.1% (don't know)
17.9% (none)
35.1% (und.)		 ? 2.1% 19.4% 1.8% 7% 2% 36.6% ?
3C Etudes July 2013 944 43% 5.6% 1.9% 29.7% 1.3% 10.2% 4.2% 33.6% ?
Sigma Aug 2013 1724 55% 1.3% 2.5% 33.7% 2.0% 9.4% 3.1% 42.3% 5.7%
3C Etudes Aug 2013 1249 43% 5.2% ? 30.6% ? 9.7% 3.5% 33.9% ?
Emrhod Sep 2013 ? ? ? 2.0% 18.4% 3.4% 4.6% 1.4% 24.4% ?
Sigma Oct 2013 ? 49.6% 1.9% 2.9% 31.2% 2.5% 11.9% 1.5% 42.5% ?
3C Etudes Oct 2013 1318 39.3% 5.2% ? 30.4% ? 10.3% 3.9% 30.1% ?
Emrhod Nov 2013 1900 ? ? ? 18.0% ? 6.3% ? 27.6% ?
3C Etudes Nov 2013 1658 ? 3.5% ? 31.4% ? 10.6% 2.1% 29.1% ?
Sigma Dec 2013 ? 48.1% 2.4% 3.4% 28.6% 1.6% 6.3% 4.5% 40.0% ?
3C Etudes Dec 2013 1681 ? 2.2% ? 31.6% ? 10.0% 3.8% 27.2% ?
Emrhod Jan 2014 ? ? ? ? 16.4% ? 5.3% 1.8% 23.3% ?
Sigma Jan 2014 11362 54.4% 1.3% 2.4% 34.6% 3.6% 7.1% 1.3% 41.6% ?
Emrhod Feb 2014 1200 ? 2.2% 2.1% 18.4% 1.9% 6.4% 1.4% 20.6% ?
Sigma Feb 2014 1517 ? ? 2.8% 33.1% 1.5% 3.8% 2.4% 52.3% ?
Emrhod Mar 2014 1051 ? 1.6% 2.4% 20.9% 2.4% 7.4% 2.4% 25.7% ?
Sigma Apr 2014 1636 62.9% (und. + abstain) 0.8% 2.6% 35.4% 1.8% 5.1% 1.6% 46.8% 4.9%
Sigma May 2014 1013 ? 1.0% 1.0% 28.7% 3.1% 5.1% 2.3% 50.5% ?
Sigma May 2014 (II) ? ? 2.5 2.6% 24.0% 3.9% 6.2% 2.3% 41.3% ?
Emrhod Jun 2014 ? ? ? ? 14.0% 4.7% 3.9% 2.9% 17.1% ?
Sigma Jun/Jul 2014 ? ? ? 3.1% 21.7% 3.5% 7.3% 3.2% 45.1% ?
Source Date Sample size Undecided al-Mahaba CPR Ennahda Ettakatol FP PR Nidaa Other

Results

File:2014 Tunisia Parliament Seats Distribution.svg
  Nidaa Tounes: 85 seats   Ennahda Movement: 69 seats   Free Patriotic Union: 16 seats   Popular Front: 15 seats   Afek Tounes: 8 seats   Others: 24 seats

According to the preliminary results released by the Independent High Authority for Elections, Nidaa Tounes took the lead in the election, winning 85 seats in the 217-seat parliament. Ennahda Movement came second with 69 seats losing 16 seats compared to 2011 elections. The biggest losers were CPR of Moncef Marzouki and Democratic Forum for Labour and Liberties who were members of a coalition government formed with Ennahda Movement following 2011 elections. On the other hand, there was a noticeable emergence of smaller parties like the UPL of businessman Slim Riahi with 16 seats, Popular Front with 15 seats and Afek Tounes with 8 seats.

The Elections Authority decided to sanction Nidaa Tounes in Kasserine electoral district by withdrawing 1 seat following reported irregularities conducted by party members. This sanction allowed the Democratic Forum for Labour and Liberties to gain its single seat in the parliament. A low youth voter turnout was recorded with over 80% of 18-25-year-olds boycotting the vote.

Template:Tunisian parliamentary election, 2014

Reactions

Domestic

Ennahda's Lotfi Zitoun said the party had "accepted this result and congratulate the winner."

International

The result was hailed internationally> for its democratic viability as the only one of the major Arab Spring uprisings, including Libya and Egypt that are convulsed by instability and turmoil.

In the United States, President Barack Obama hailed the free, fair and non-violent elections as a "milestone," while Secretary of State John Kerry said it was an example of "why Tunisia remains a beacon of hope, not only to the Tunisian people, but to the region and the world."

Other

Comparisons were also drawn to holding Tunisia as a model for Lebanon amidst its own turmoil.

Government formation

With Nidaa Tounes having won a plurality it has the right to name a prime minister and form a government in coalition. Beji Caid Essebsi said it was too early to talk of a coalition government - including one with Ennahda. Instead he said the Tunisian presidential election, 2014 will give direction to the formation of a new government.

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  65. "Sondage Emrhod : BCE, Nidaa et Ennahdha en baisse, Moncef Marzouki en nette hausse". Businessnews.com.tn. 17 June 2014.
  66. "Sondage : Nida Tounes creuse l'écart avec Ennahdha". Kapitalis. 6 July 2014.
  67. "Législatives : Malgré l'écart, Nidaa Tounes et Ennahdha demeurent à la tête des intentions de vote". Business News. 5 July 2014.
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  69. http://www.presstv.ir/detail/2014/10/28/383990/data-shows-low-participation-of-youths-in-tunisias-elections/
  70. "Tunisian Islamists concede election defeat to secular party". Reuters. 27 October 2014.
  71. ^ "After Elections, Tunisia's Nidaa Tounes Seeks Alliances to Govern". VOA.
  72. "Secular parliament set to take power in Tunisia after peaceful election". PBS NewsHour. 27 October 2014.
  73. {{cite web|url=http://www.aawsat.net/2014/10/article55338045%7Ctitle=Opinion: Tunisia’s Lesson for Lebanon|publisher=Asharq Al-Awsat|date=30 October 2014}
  74. http://www.presstv.in/detail/2014/10/30/384137/nidaa-tounes-comes-1st-in-tunisia-polls/
Tunisia Elections and referendums in Tunisia
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