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2025 Czech parliamentary election

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2025 Czech parliamentary election
← 2021 By October 2025
← outgoing members
All 200 seats in the Chamber of Deputies
101 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
  Andrej Babiš v roce 2020 (cropped).jpg Donald_Tusk_joined_various_leaders_in_Wrocław_for_recent_floods_in_Central_Europe_(7)_(cropped).jpg
Leader Andrej Babiš Petr Fiala Vít Rakušan
Party ANO ODS STAN
Alliance – SPOLU
Last election 27.1%, 72 seats 27.8%, 71 seats 15.6%, 33 seats
  Tomio Okamura portrét (cropped).jpg Zdeněk_Hřib_(Nov_2024)_(cropped).jpg
Leader Tomio Okamura Zdeněk Hřib
Party SPD Pirates
Last election 9.6%, 20 seats 15.6%, 4 seats
Incumbent Prime Minister

Petr Fiala
ODS



Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in the Czech Republic by October 2025. All 200 members of the Chamber of Deputies of the Czech Republic, the lower house of the Parliament, will be elected and the leader of the resultant government will become the Prime Minister.

Background

The constitution of the Czech Republic stipulates that an election to the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Czech parliament, must be held every four years. The executive government is answerable to the Chamber of Deputies and remains in power only as long as it commands the confidence of the majority of its members. Article 19(1) of the constitution states that any citizen of the Czech Republic over the age of 21 years old is eligible to serve as a Member of Parliament.

The 2021 parliamentary elections saw the conservative alliance Spolu (consisting of the Civic Democratic Party (ODS), KDU-ČSL and TOP 09) finish first with 27.8% of the vote. ANO 2011 finished second and liberal alliance Pirates and Mayors third. Freedom and Direct Democracy was the only other party to win seats. Spolu formed a government with Pirates and Mayors with ODS leader Petr Fiala as Prime Minister.

Soon after the 2021 elections, the leader of the Mayors and Independents, Vít Rakušan, said that his party would run in the next elections as a single party rather than continue their alliance with the Pirate Party. According to internal Pirate Party analysis, the Mayors violated their joint agreement by asking their voters to give their candidates preference votes on the joint list, which resulted in just four Pirate MPs being elected.

On 8 February 2023, Babiš announced he would limit his role within ANO 2011. He would remain as an MP and the leader of the party, while Karel Havlíček and Alena Schillerová would become the primary faces of the party, with Havlíček becoming leader of the shadow cabinet. Babiš described Havlíček as a future prime minister of the Czech Republic.

2024 European Parliament election

The 2024 European Parliament election saw losses for the ruling parties, as the Czech Pirate Party lost two of its three seats, and both the Civic Democrats and KDU-ČSL lost one MEP each. TOP 09 retained both its mandates and Mayors and Independents gained one, resulting in a net loss of three seats for the ruling coalition.

Among the parliamentary opposition, ANO gained one mandate compared to the previous election, and SPD lost one, just passing the parliamentary threshold. Most of the gains went to populist extra-parliamentary parties, with two MEPs each won by far-left Stačilo! and the right-wing populist Přísaha and Motorists, whose leader Filip Turek had faced neo-nazism allegations just days before the election. The election also saw the worst result ever for Social Democracy, which won just 1.8% of the vote, far below the threshold.

2024 regional and senate elections

The 2024 Czech regional elections saw a near-total wipeout for the Pirate Party, the smallest party in the government coalition, which surpassed the threshold in just one out of 13 contested regions and lost all but four councillors nationwide. This led to the resignation of the party leadership and the party's departure from the Fiala cabinet.

The election was also successful for the Stačilo! coalition, which entered 12 out of 13 regional assemblies, winning 40 councillors.

Pre-election composition

Results by party
Party Seats +/–
ANO 2011 71 –7
Civic Democratic Party 34 +9
Mayors and Independents 33 +27
KDU-ČSL 23 +13
Freedom and Direct Democracy 20 –2
TOP 09 14 +7
Czech Pirate Party 4 –18
Independents 1 +1

Opinion polls

Main article: Opinion polling for the 2025 Czech parliamentary election

Party polling

Local regression graph of polls conducted since the 2021 election by party

References

  1. "New Czech government set to sign coalition deal". Bne IntelliNews. 7 November 2021. Retrieved 23 January 2025.
  2. Šamanová, Dáša. "Babiš se stahuje do pozadí, předsedou ANO a poslancem přitom zůstává". Novinky.cz (in Czech). Retrieved 8 February 2023.
  3. Kopecký, Josef (8 February 2023). "Babiš povede ANO v pozadí, vidět budou Schillerová a šéf stínové vlády Havlíček". Mladá fronta Dnes (in Czech). Mafra. Retrieved 8 February 2023.
  4. Leinert, Ondřej (9 June 2023). "Babiš: Moje poslední volby? Asi v roce 2025. Vláda ničí naši práci, Fiala to neřídí a Válek by se měl léčit". Hospodářské noviny (in Czech). Retrieved 9 June 2023.
  5. Svoboda, Tomáš (9 June 2024). "Volby ovládlo hnutí ANO, největšími skokany jsou Motoristé s Přísahou". Seznam Zprávy (in Czech). Retrieved 18 January 2025.
  6. Musil, Adam; Chodil, Jakub (10 June 2024). "Eurovolby v Česku vyhrálo ANO. Pirátům může kvůli neúspěchu hrozit štěpení, míní odborníci". ČT24 (in Czech). Czech Television. Czech Press Agency. Retrieved 18 January 2025.
  7. "Czech government undergoes a reshuffle after a party leaves but retains a majority in Parliament". Associated Press. 8 October 2024.
  8. Freiwilligová, Blanka (22 September 2024). "Stačilo! bodovalo v 11 krajích. A nemusí jít o konečný počet". Novinky.cz (in Czech). Retrieved 18 January 2025.
  9. "Seznam Zvolenych Poslancu Strany Spolu v KRAJÍCH - Predikce". E15.cz (in Czech). 9 October 2021. Retrieved 10 October 2021.
  10. "Seznam Zvolenych Poslancu Strany PIRSTAN v KRAJÍCH - Predikce". E15.cz (in Czech). 9 October 2021. Retrieved 10 October 2021.
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