Opinion polling for Canadian federal elections |
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Opinion polls |
Polls leading up to the 1988 Canadian federal election.
National polls
Campaign period
Polling firm | Last day of survey |
Source | PC | LPC | NDP | Other | ME | Sample | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Voting results | 43.02 | 31.92 | 20.38 | 4.68 | 11.10 | ||||
Gallup | November 19, 1988 | 40 | 35 | 22 | 3 | — | — | — | |
Insight Canada Research | November 18, 1988 | 43 | 32 | 20 | 5 | — | — | — | |
Angus Reid | November 17, 1988 | 41 | 33 | 23 | 3 | ± 2.5 | 1,512 | 8 | |
Gallup | November 12, 1988 | 35 | 35 | 26 | 4 | ± 4.0 | 1,026 | 0 | |
Canadian Facts | November 8, 1988 | 38 | 38 | 21 | — | ± 2.2 | 2,200 | 0 | |
Angus Reid | November 8, 1988 | 39 | 35 | 24 | — | ± 2.5 | 1,501 | 4 | |
Environics | November 8, 1988 | 35 | 37 | 24 | 5 | — | 1,275 | — | |
Gallup | November 5, 1988 | 31 | 43 | 22 | — | ± 4.0 | 1,041 | 12 | |
Insight Canada Research | November 3, 1988 | 37 | 40 | 20 | 3 | ± 3.2 | 1,101 | 3 | |
Environics | October 30, 1988 | 31 | 37 | 26 | 6 | — | 727 | — | |
Insight Canada Research | November 3, 1988 | 35 | 39 | 23 | 3 | — | 1,100 | — | |
Gallup | October 29, 1988 | 38 | 32 | 27 | 3 | — | 1,034 | — | |
Angus Reid | October 27, 1988 | 35 | 35 | 28 | 2 | ± 2.5 | 1,502 | 0 | |
Environics | October 26, 1988 | 32 | 32 | 28 | 8 | — | 811 | — | |
Gallup | October 15, 1988 | 39 | 29 | 28 | 4 | ± 4.0 | 1,027 | 10 | |
Environics | October 10, 1988 | 42 | 25 | 29 | 5 | — | 1,515 | — | |
Angus Reid | October 3, 1988 | 45 | 26 | 27 | 2 | ± 2.5 | 1,512 | 19 | |
Gallup | October 3, 1988 | 43 | 33 | 22 | 2 | ± 4.0 | 1,061 | 10 | |
Official call of federal elections (October 1, 1988) |
During the 33rd Parliament of Canada
Polling firm | Last day of survey |
Source | PC | LPC | NDP | Other | ME | Sample |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gallup | September 10, 1988 | 37 | 33 | 27 | — | ± 4.0 | 1,032 | |
Gallup | August 6, 1988 | 34 | 35 | 30 | — | ± 4.0 | 1,036 | |
Environics | July 26, 1988 | 34 | 38 | 26 | — | ± 2.5 | 1,503 | |
Angus Reid | July 25, 1988 | 35 | 34 | 28 | — | — | — | |
Gallup | July 11, 1988 | 35 | 37 | 27 | 1 | — | — | |
Environics | June 27, 1988 | 31 | 37 | 30 | 2 | — | 1,992 | |
Angus Reid | June 21, 1988 | 33 | 34 | 31 | 2 | ± 2.5 | 1,506 | |
Gallup | June 4, 1988 | 31 | 39 | 29 | 1 | — | — | |
Angus Reid | May 18, 1988 | 31 | 37 | 30 | 2 | — | — | |
Gallup | May 7, 1988 | 28 | 39 | 31 | 2 | — | — | |
Gallup | April 9, 1988 | 31 | 38 | 30 | 1 | — | — | |
Environics | March 24, 1988 | 29 | 40 | 30 | 1 | — | 1,983 | |
Angus Reid | March 21, 1988 | 34 | 30 | 34 | 2 | ± 2.5 | 1,517 | |
Gallup | March 5, 1988 | 28 | 37 | 33 | 2 | — | — | |
Angus Reid | February 23, 1988 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 2 | ± 2.5 | 1,521 | |
Gallup | February 6, 1988 | 27 | 41 | 31 | 1 | ± 4.0 | 1,022 | |
Gallup | January 9, 1988 | 30 | 36 | 31 | 2 | — | — | |
Ratification of the Canada-U.S. Free Trade Agreement (January 2, 1988) | ||||||||
Gallup | December 5, 1987 | 29 | 35 | 34 | 2 | ± 4.0 | 1,000 | |
Angus Reid | December 4, 1987 | 30 | 37 | 32 | — | ± 2.5 | 1,507 | |
Gallup | November 7, 1987 | 25 | 40 | 33 | 2 | — | — | |
Gallup | October 10, 1987 | 23 | 38 | 38 | 1 | — | — | |
Gallup | September 5, 1987 | 25 | 36 | 37 | 2 | — | — | |
Gallup | August 8, 1987 | 25 | 36 | 37 | 2 | — | — | |
Gallup | July 11, 1987 | 23 | 35 | 41 | 1 | — | — | |
Angus Reid | June 24, 1987 | 26 | 32 | 40 | — | ± 2.5 | 1,504 | |
Environics | June 10, 1987 | 26 | 36 | 37 | — | — | — | |
Gallup | June 6, 1987 | 24 | 39 | 35 | 2 | — | — | |
Signing of the Meech Lake Accord (June 2–3, 1987) | ||||||||
Angus Reid | May 25, 1987 | 22 | 38 | 38 | — | ± 2.5 | 1,521 | |
Angus Reid | May 11, 1987 | 25 | 36 | 37 | — | — | 1,670 | |
Gallup | May 9, 1987 | 26 | 42 | 30 | 3 | — | 1,014 | |
Gallup | April 11, 1987 | 24 | 42 | 32 | 3 | — | 1,008 | |
Gallup | March 14, 1987 | 24 | 41 | 34 | 1 | — | — | |
Angus Reid | March 6, 1987 | 23 | 42 | 33 | 2 | ± 2.5 | 1,666 | |
Gallup | February 14, 1987 | 22 | 44 | 32 | 2 | — | — | |
Gallup | January 10, 1987 | 28 | 41 | 30 | 1 | — | — | |
Gallup | December 6, 1986 | 30 | 45 | 25 | 1 | — | — | |
Gallup | November 8, 1986 | 31 | 39 | 29 | 1 | — | — | |
Gallup | October 4, 1986 | 31 | 38 | 29 | 1 | — | — | |
Gallup | September 13, 1986 | 35 | 36 | 28 | 2 | ± 4.0 | 1,000 | |
Gallup | August 16, 1986 | 33 | 41 | 24 | 2 | — | — | |
Gallup | August 9, 1986 | 31 | 35 | 33 | 1 | — | — | |
Gallup | July 5, 1986 | 36 | 41 | 21 | 2 | — | — | |
Angus Reid | June 24, 1986 | 31 | 38 | 27 | — | — | 1,673 | |
CROP-Environics | June 15, 1986 | 36 | 39 | 24 | — | — | 2,040 | |
Gallup | June 7, 1986 | 32 | 40 | 27 | 1 | — | — | |
Angus Reid | May 13, 1986 | 38 | 36 | 24 | — | ± 2.5 | 1,063 | |
Gallup | May 3, 1986 | 32 | 40 | 27 | 1 | — | — | |
Gallup | April 5, 1986 | 37 | 40 | 21 | 2 | — | — | |
Gallup | March 15, 1986 | 41 | 34 | 25 | 1 | — | — | |
Gallup | February 8, 1986 | 36 | 41 | 23 | 1 | — | — | |
Gallup | December 7, 1985 | 37 | 38 | 24 | 1 | — | — | |
Gallup | November 9, 1985 | 40 | 36 | 24 | 0 | — | — | |
Gallup | October 5, 1985 | 43 | 35 | 22 | 1 | — | — | |
Gallup | September 7, 1985 | 48 | 29 | 22 | 1 | — | — | |
Angus Reid | August 27, 1985 | 46 | 29 | 21 | 4 | — | — | |
Gallup | August 10, 1985 | 46 | 32 | 20 | 2 | — | 1,037 | |
Gallup | July 13, 1985 | 40 | 33 | 26 | 1 | — | — | |
Gallup | June 8, 1985 | 44 | 33 | 21 | 2 | — | — | |
Gallup | May 18, 1985 | 45 | 31 | 22 | 1 | — | — | |
Gallup | April 6, 1985 | 54 | 24 | 21 | 1 | ± 4.0 | 1,037 | |
Gallup | February 23, 1985 | 56 | 26 | 17 | 1 | — | — | |
Gallup | February 2, 1985 | 53 | 25 | 21 | 1 | — | — | |
Gallup | January 5, 1985 | 53 | 25 | 21 | 1 | ± 4.0 | 1,054 | |
Gallup | December 8, 1984 | 54 | 24 | 20 | 2 | — | — | |
CROP | November 30, 1984 | 57 | 22 | 20 | 1 | ± 2.0 | 1,971 | |
Gallup | November 3, 1984 | 55 | 23 | 20 | 2 | — | — | |
Gallup | October 13, 1984 | 60 | 21 | 17 | 3 | — | — | |
Election 1984 | September 4, 1984 | 50.03 | 28.02 | 18.81 | 3.14 |
By geographic area
In Québec
Polling firm | Last day of survey |
Source | PC | LPC | NDP | Other | ME | Sample |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Voting results | 52.7 | 30.3 | 14.4 | 2.6 | ||||
Gallup | November 19, 1988 | 47 | 32 | 17 | 4 | — | — | |
CROP | November 18, 1988 | 45 | 36 | 17 | — | — | — | |
Angus Reid | November 17, 1988 | 50 | 29 | 21 | 0 | — | — | |
Angus Reid | November 8, 1988 | 49 | 35 | 16 | — | — | — | |
Environics | November 8, 1988 | 45 | 33 | 18 | 4 | — | — | |
Gallup | November 5, 1988 | 32 | 46 | 18 | 2 | — | — | |
Environics | October 30, 1988 | 34 | 35 | 23 | 8 | — | — | |
Gallup | October 15, 1988 | 45 | 30 | 23 | 2 | — | — | |
Environics | October 10, 1988 | 47 | 23 | 25 | 5 | — | — | |
Angus Reid | October 3, 1988 | 56 | 20 | 23 | 1 | — | — | |
Gallup | October 3, 1988 | 44 | 34 | 20 | 2 | — | — | |
Official call of federal elections (October 1, 1988) | ||||||||
CROP | September 22, 1988 | 42 | 30 | 27 | 0 | — | — | |
Gallup | August 6, 1988 | 37 | 41 | 23 | — | — | — | |
Gallup | July 9, 1988 | 42 | 37 | 20 | — | — | — | |
CROP | June 22, 1988 | 31 | 45 | 23 | 1 | — | 1,605 | |
Angus Reid | June 21, 1988 | 35 | 36 | 26 | 3 | — | — | |
Gallup | June 4, 1988 | 22 | 50 | 26 | — | — | — | |
Sorécom | May 24, 1988 | 31 | 40 | 27 | — | ± 3.0 | 1,102 | |
Angus Reid | May 18, 1988 | 28 | 41 | 30 | 1 | — | — | |
CROP | May 18, 1988 | 30 | 44 | 26 | 1 | — | — | |
CROP | April 19, 1988 | 26 | 46 | 28 | 0 | — | — | |
Sorecom | April 13, 1988 | 31 | 38 | 31 | 0 | — | 991 | |
Gallup | April 9, 1988 | 20 | 43 | 36 | 1 | — | — | |
Environics | March 24, 1988 | 24 | 46 | 29 | — | — | — | |
CROP | March 7, 1988 | 27 | 46 | 26 | 1 | ± 4.0 | 647 | |
Sorécom | February 28, 1988 | 28 | 39 | 31 | — | — | 1,191 | |
Angus Reid | February 23, 1988 | 31 | 32 | 35 | — | — | — | |
Gallup | February 6, 1988 | 21 | 51 | 27 | — | — | — | |
Gallup | January 9, 1988 | 28 | 38 | 32 | — | — | — | |
Gallup | November 7, 1987 | 25 | 38 | — | — | — | — | |
CROP | June 18, 1987 | 22 | 46 | 31 | 1 | — | — | |
Angus Reid | May 25, 1987 | 16 | 30 | 50 | — | — | — | |
Gallup | April 11, 1987 | 17 | 49 | 34 | — | — | — | |
IQOP | April 10, 1987 | 18 | 41 | 41 | — | — | — | |
Angus Reid | March 4, 1987 | 17 | 40 | 40 | — | — | 392 | |
Sorécom | February 27, 1987 | 18 | 45 | 36 | — | ± 2.3 | 1,200 | |
Sorécom | September 26, 1986 | 27 | 43 | 31 | — | — | 1,824 | |
Angus Reid | June 24, 1986 | 20 | 48 | 27 | — | — | — | |
CROP/Environics | June 15, 1986 | 25 | 49 | 25 | — | — | — | |
Sorécom | May 25, 1986 | 28 | 42 | 30 | — | ± 3.0 | 1,995 | |
Angus Reid | May 13, 1986 | 30 | 45 | 22 | — | — | — | |
UdeM | April 22, 1986 | 32 | 50 | 16 | 2 | — | 2,013 | |
Sorécom | February 28, 1986 | 27 | 47 | 26 | 1 | ± 2.89 | 1,227 | |
IQOP | January 24, 1986 | 23 | 54 | 21 | — | — | — | |
Sorécom | May 23, 1985 | 57 | 26 | 16 | 1 | — | — | |
Election 1984 | 50.2 | 35.4 | 8.8 | 5.6 |
In Ontario
Polling firm | Last day of survey |
Source | PC | LPC | NDP | Other | ME | Sample |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Voting results | November 21, 1988 | 38.2 | 38.9 | 20.1 | 2.8 | |||
Environics | October 10, 1988 | 37 | 27 | 33 | 3 | — | — | |
Gallup | February 6, 1988 | 26 | 42 | 32 | 0 | — | — | |
Gallup | January 9, 1988 | 28 | 42 | 30 | 0 | — | — | |
Elections in 1984 | 47.6 | 29.8 | 20.8 | 1.8 |
In Alberta
Polling firm | Last day of survey |
Source | PC | LPC | NDP | Reform | Other | ME | Sample |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Voting results | 51.8 | 13.7 | 17.4 | 15.4 | 1.7 | ||||
Environics | October 10, 1988 | 49 | 15 | 24 | 12 | 0 | — | — | |
Angus Reid | June 24, 1986 | 51 | 18 | 27 | — | 4 | — | — | |
Elections in 1984 | 68.8 | 12.7 | 14.1 | — | 4.4 |
In British Columbia
Polling firm | Last day of survey |
Source | PC | LPC | NDP | Reform | Other | ME | Sample |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Voting results | 35.3 | 20.4 | 37.0 | 4.8 | 2.5 | ||||
Environics | October 10, 1988 | 31 | 22 | 40 | — | 7 | — | — | |
Gallup | October 3, 1988 | 39 | 25 | 29 | — | 7 | — | — | |
Angus Reid | May 25, 1987 | 24 | 34 | 42 | – | 0 | — | — | |
Elections in 1984 | 46.6 | 16.4 | 35.1 | – | 1.9 |
References
- ^ Fontaine, Mario (November 19, 1988). "Les blues font des gains". La Presse. p. 1.
- John Deverell (November 23, 1988). "New firm scores coup with perfect poll result". Toronto Star. pp. A20.
- ^ "Tories hold 8-point lead in new poll by Reid". Toronto Star. November 19, 1988. pp. A8.
- Alan Christie (November 14, 1988). "Liberals tie with Tories in latest Gallup poll". Toronto Star. pp. A1.
- Le soleil, 11 November 1988
- ^ Forgues, Andre (November 10, 1988). "Le PC reprend le premier rang". Le Soleil.
- ^ Michael Adams; Donna Dasko; James Matsui (January 10, 1988). "Tories and Liberals are neck-and-neck, new survey shows". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
- ^ Fontaine, Mario (November 7, 1988). "Les conservateurs en chute libre". La Presse.
- "Liberals hold 3-point lead in latest poll". Toronto Star. November 5, 1988. pp. A3.
- ^ Michael Adams; Donna Dasko; James Matsui (January 1, 1988). "Liberals move ahead of PCs in wake of leaders' debates". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
- Lavoie, Gilbert (October 31, 1988). "Gallup: PC 38%, PLC 32%, NPD 27%". La Presse. p. 1.
- "Liberals leap into tie with Tories". Toronto Star. October 29, 1988. pp. A1.
- ^ Alan Christie (October 17, 1988). "Liberals barely holding on to second place NDP gaining at expense of Tories, poll says". Toronto Star. pp. A15.
- ^ Michael Adams; Donna Dasko; James Matsui (October 12, 1988). "Tories jump to wide lead in poll as NDP bumps Liberals to third". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
- ^ "NDP and Liberals in virtual tie behind Tories, new poll shows". Toronto Star. October 5, 1988. pp. A31.
- ^ "Tories top poll at 43%, trade seen as key issue". Toronto Star. October 3, 1988. pp. A1.
- Paquin, Gilles (September 15, 1988). "Gallip donne 37% des voix au PC". La Presse. p. 1.
- ^ "Une lutte a trois se dessine". Le Soleil. August 11, 1988. p. 1.
- ^ "Un nouveau sondage Angus Reid renforce la probabilite d'elections imminentes". La Presse. July 29, 1988. p. 1.
- ^ Jannard, Maurice (July 14, 1988). "Mulroney fait un bond". La Presse. p. 1.
- Michael Adams (June 29, 1988). "Conservatives trailing Liberals in June survey: Support is up for Tories, NDP POLL". The Globe and Mail.
- ^ "Parties are neck and neck, poll finds". Toronto Star. June 24, 1988. pp. A2.
- ^ Gravel, Pierre (May 28, 1988). "Mulroney garde la faveur des Québécois". La Presse. p. 1.
- ^ Michael Adams (March 29, 1988). "Decided voters still favor Liberals; Tory support off in most regions: GLOBE-ENVIRONICS POLL". The Globe and Mail.
- Heather Bird (March 25, 1988). "Liberals tumble into last place, poll shows". Toronto Star. pp. A1.
- ^ Alan Christie (February 26, 1988). "Federal parties in dead heat, poll says Liberals 33%, NDP 33%, Conservatives 32%". Toronto Star. pp. A1.
- ^ "Gains importants pour les libéraux". Le Soleil. February 11, 1988. p. 1.
- ^ Tardif, Germain (January 14, 1988). "Le Parti libéral maintient son avance, révèle Gallup". La Presse. p. 1.
- ^ Jeff Sallot (December 10, 1987). "Tories' rise in polls linked to free trade". The Globe and Mail. pp. A10.
- ^ Hugh Windsor (June 27, 1987). "NDP scrambling to exploit support indicated in polls". The Globe and Mail. pp. A5.
- ^ Canadian Press (May 30, 1987). "NDP ties Liberals at 38%, poll says". The Globe and Mail. pp. A5.
- Hugh Windsor (May 15, 1987). "Contradiction in latest polls hinges on Quebec". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
- ^ Jannard, Maurice (April 16, 1987). "Gallup: le PLC maintient son avance". La Presse. p. 1.
- ^ Noreau, Pierre-Paul (March 7, 1987). "Le PC confirme en 3e position". Le Soleil. p. 1.
- ^ "Moins d'indécis; le Parti conservateur et le NPD font des gains". La Tribune. September 25, 1986. p. 2.
- ^ "Mulroney Remaine Son Cabinet". La Tribune. June 30, 1986. p. 1.
- ^ Vastel, Michel (July 29, 1986). "Chrétien augmenterait l'avance des libéraux sur les conservateurs". La Presse. p. 1.
- La Presse canadienne (July 29, 1986). "Liberals with Chretien at helm would have big lead, poll says". The Toronto Star. pp. A2.
- ^ "Des indécis en nombre". Le Soleil. April 21, 1986. p. 2.
- ^ Canadian Press (May 19, 1986). "Tories hold slight lead in survey". The Globe and Mail. pp. A5.
- ^ La Presse canadienne (September 20, 1985). "Tory rise in Gallup poll is 'good stuff,' PM says". Toronto Star. pp. A10.
- ^ "Le PC paie pour ses problèmes (Mulroney)". Le Soleil. January 10, 1986. p. A8.
- "Cote de popularité des conservateurs plus haute qu'en septembre 84". Le soleil. May 16, 1985. p. A16.
- Canadian Press (July 2, 1985). "Gallup gives federal Tories 53 per cent voter support". The Globe and Mail. Toronto. La Presse canadienne. p. 8.
- "Le NPD plus qu' à 2 points des libéraux". Le soleil. January 10, 1985. p. B1.
- Michael Adams (January 9, 1985). "Steady support found for PCs". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
- ^ Fontaine, Mario (September 30, 1988). "Les libéraux continuent de dégringoler". La presse. p. 1.
- "Le PC pratiquement nez a nez avec les libéraux". Le soleil. July 14, 1988. p. 1.
- Lilianne Lacroix (July 10, 1988). " Bourassa et Turner restent les favoris; le PLQ obtient 64% des intentions de vote; 45% des Québécois auraient appuyé le PLC". La Presse. pp. A1 – A2.
- "Les libéraux restent en tête". Le soleil. June 9, 1988. p. 1.
- "La remontée du PQ brisée par le budget Levesque". Le soleil. May 28, 1988. p. 1.
- ^ "Selon Sorécom, ie PLC est toujours en tête au Québec suivi du PC et du NPD ex aequo". La presse. April 16, 1988. p. 12.
- "Les Québécois satisfaits de Bourassa". La presse. May 13, 1988. p. 2.
- "Le PQ à son plus bas". Le soleil. May 4, 1988. p. 1.
- "Le temps joue pour Mulroney". Le devoir. February 27, 1988. p. 1.
- Val Sears (November 13, 1987). "PM's credibility questioned in wake of latest Gallup Poll". The Toronto Star. pp. A26.
- "A Broad bent et au NPD de bien jouer". La voix de l'Est. April 16, 1987. p. 8.
- "BOURASSA PLUS FORT QUE JAMAIS". Le soleil. October 3, 1986. p. 1.
- "Mulroney est ouvert à l'idée de Bourassa". La presse. June 5, 1986. p. 1.
- "59 % des Québécois sont insatisfaits des Conservateurs". Le devoir. May 16, 1986. p. 1.
- ^ "Liberaux 61%; Pequistes 33%". Le soleil. May 7, 1986. p. 1.
- Lessard, Denis (January 31, 1986). "Baisse de popularité des tories; Les députés conservateurs du Québec s'inquiètent..." Le soleil. p. A5.
- Martin Cohn (February 11, 1988). "Liberals up in Gallup as scandals plague PCs". Toronto Star. pp. A1.
- Martin Cohn (January 14, 1988). "Tories support up to 30% in Gallup poll of voters". Toronto Star. pp. A1.
- La Presse canadienne (June 29, 1986). "Liberals leading Tories by 7 points, poll suggests". Toronto Star. pp. A5.
- Les Whittington (May 29, 1987). "Liberals, NDP are tied new national poll says". Toronto Star. pp. A1.
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Bold indicates parties with members elected to the House of Commons. | |